In our view, the risk/reward pendulum of Kincora Copper (TSXV: KCC) has shifted to a point that is too good to be ignored. The 2014 exploration season at its Bronze Fox project has the potential to be a game-changing period with a number of similarities to Ivanhoe Mines program in 2001 that lead to the ‘discovery hole’ at Oyu Tolgoi. This note provides detail of the build-up of Kincora’s past and a synopsis of the investment merits (notwithstanding the obvious exploration risk).
The Kincora Opportunity in a Snapshot:
Analogies to Oyu Tolgoi
• Drilling at Bronze Fox is planned based on extremely promising previous drill results, new geophysical and other “long lead” time / technical activities undertaken in 2013
• A follow up phase of target drilling at Oyu Tolgoi focused on similar untested geophysical targets, with often-supportive previous drilling, & lead to the “discovery hole”
Location
• The only listed copper junior in the same copper belt as Oyu Tolgoi and Tsagaan Suvarga copper mines
• Under-explored copper belt, geochemical footprint matching other major globally significant porphyry deposits, typically occurring in clusters
Close in 2012, closer in 2013…
• 2012 drilling included >800 meters @ 0.4% CuEq, 37 meters >1% CuEq. The last hole drilled had 4% localized copper
• 2013 activities re-interpreting past drilling, “explained” previous results and refined large targets at Bronze Fox
Triangulation of past exploration results
• In 2012, the >800m (@ 0.4%) intersected the fringe of an IP anomaly derived 2013. The 37m (@ >1%) hole came within 500m of the anomaly with 2013 studies proving this a less prospective are of the porphyry system (within ~1.5km).
• 2014 drilling targets = a combination of IP targets (2013), integrated with positive known of copper grades/geology (pre 2013); surface and down hole fertility (2013); geochemical, alternation and veining analysis (2013)
2014 drilling targets
• 9 targets, strike +1-2km, identified for 2014, triangulated and de-risked to the stage of drilling at Bronze Fox
• Oyu Tolgoi, one of the worlds largest porphyries, is 10 deposits/zones consistent with +1-3km strike IP anomalies
Multiple positive verifications
• 2012: • positive independent technical review
• 2013: • three separate positive independent reviews by leading global copper experts for purposes of 3rd party DD
Blue sky potential
Discoveries drive share prices – case studies: OT in Mongolia
• Sirius Resources: 12x on 5 holes, 51x in 3 months in 2012
• Sandfire Resources: 41x in 2009 on drilling success
Insiders are buying
• 2H’13 buying from all directors. Significant on market purchases in Jan-2014 following the exploration update
A direct ‘play’ on exploration success
• Backed by the best technical team in Mongolia, arguably one of the best in the junior copper space (ex RT & BHP)
• Valuation trading discount to peers
• Not to be confused as a ‘play’ on Mongolian politics/macro
Proactive Investors TV Interview with Kincora (Feb 7th):
http://kincoracopper.com/news/
The link to our recently updated corporate presentation, presentation on the Mongolian minerals sector/copper exploration potential in the South Gobi and a recent ResCap Mongolia country update research report are below.
Corporate Presentation (Feb 5th) - Final 2013 Field Season results:
http://kincoracopper.com/
Mongolia Minerals Sector & Copper Potential Overview Presentation (Feb 5th):
http://kincoracopper.com/
ResCap - Mongolian Economic and Mining Update (Feb 5th) – “Mistakes made . . . but willing to change”:
http://kincoracopper.com/
Source:Kincora Copper
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